Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 9.985015 11.036181 12.163052 13.462919 14.923448 16.516585 18.389678
2025-10-12 8.537149 10.022473 11.727599 13.838463 16.393234 19.400000 23.228321
2025-10-19 7.337841 9.059248 11.152551 13.905378 17.459517 21.933195 28.053286
2025-10-26 6.356816 8.190079 10.531689 13.776371 18.209991 24.134963 32.785441
2025-11-02 5.576442 7.453495 9.955325 13.584744 18.800284 26.155996 37.553513
2025-11-09 4.944370 6.824044 9.424766 13.354365 19.262287 28.012155 42.333127
2025-11-16 4.448492 6.318068 8.993052 13.186717 19.757880 29.940621 47.484894
2025-11-23 4.059869 5.918403 8.660379 13.107790 20.350014 32.060451 53.247377
2025-11-30 3.821384 5.712493 8.586571 13.405602 21.556100 35.304724 61.433141
2025-12-07 3.526703 5.388238 8.291501 13.303485 22.069632 37.426542 67.938144
2025-12-14 3.227739 5.027767 7.900457 12.990895 22.168002 38.807539 73.246772
2025-12-21 3.007865 4.774089 7.656740 12.897320 22.631813 40.896581 80.284715
2025-12-28 2.897725 4.696096 7.705392 13.335483 24.152453 45.254687 92.964265
2026-01-04 2.785327 4.604188 7.721078 13.715389 25.614360 49.727235 106.847431
2026-01-11 2.634802 4.432937 7.580639 13.786303 26.475059 53.098468 118.945796
2026-01-18 2.470577 4.223541 7.352039 13.661109 26.916980 55.640189 129.604377
2026-01-25 2.313657 4.014563 7.105455 13.472696 27.199102 57.867256 139.960138
2026-02-01 2.166454 3.811903 6.853157 13.245231 27.365604 59.851695 150.123463
2026-02-08 2.039997 3.638340 6.641734 13.079552 27.646707 62.147526 161.668864
2026-02-15 1.934449 3.496505 6.480075 13.001580 28.116620 64.975596 175.410996
2026-02-22 1.877762 3.444371 6.491130 13.296767 29.498790 70.326849 198.038690
2026-03-01 1.784102 3.312802 6.330827 13.195663 29.911140 73.220273 213.774872
2026-03-08 1.677244 3.147653 6.088855 12.885991 29.767941 74.597305 224.944511